Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) – Why We Are Raising Estimates And Price Target?

Wednesday, December 16, 2020

Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)
Why We Are Raising Estimates And Price Target?

Townsquare Media Inc is an entertainment and media company offering digital marketing solutions in the United States and Canada. It owns and operates radio stations, social media properties focusing the small and mid-cap companies. Services offered to the clients include live events, local advertising, digital advertising, e-commerce offerings, few others. The segments through which the company operates its businesses are classified into Local marketing solutions and Entertainment segments. Revenues are generated from commercials through broadcasts and sale of internet based advertisements.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Provides preliminary Q4 results. Q4 revenues are expected to nicely exceed guidance, now expected to be down a more modest 2.7% to 4.5% versus previous expectations of down 7.5%. Cash flow, as measured by adjusted EBITDA, is expected to be between $27 million to $28 million, versus the previous expectations of roughly $25 million.

    Favorable revenue trends.  We believe that the favorable preliminary Q4 results is in large part due moderating broadcast advertising trends, excluding Political, which is encouraging as the company cycles toward easing comps in 2021 …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Allegiant Gold Ltd (AUXXF) – Fashioning Nevada’s Eastside Project Into A Multi-Million Ounce Gold Resource

Tuesday, December 15, 2020

Allegiant Gold Ltd (AUXXF)
Fashioning Nevada’s Eastside Project Into A Multi-Million Ounce Gold Resource

Allegiant Gold Ltd is a gold exploration company. Its project profile consists of Bolo, Browns Canyon, Clara Moro, Four Metals, Monitor Hills, Red Hills, Silver Dome, West Goldfield, White Horse Flats, Mogollon, Eastside, Dutch Flat, and others.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Initiating coverage.  We are initiating coverage of Allegiant Gold Ltd. Allegiant is a mid-stage gold exploration company with projects in Nevada and the Southwest United States and controls 10 projects, 7 of which are in Nevada. Management has focused its attention and resources toward advancing its flagship Eastside gold project in Nevada, while optioning other projects in its portfolio to third-party exploration companies in exchange for cash and/or share payments, work program requirements, and a retained interest in each project.

    The Eastside project represents significant upside for investors.  The Eastside project provides a unique opportunity to explore and develop an emerging district-scale gold opportunity in multiple target areas. Eastside has inferred mineral resources of 996 thousand gold ounces and 7.8 million silver ounces with significant expansion potential. In September 2020, the company commenced a 15-thousand …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA) – Line of Sight Toward Commercial Mixed REE Production Investor Webcast on December 15

Tuesday, December 15, 2020

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA)
Line of Sight Toward Commercial Mixed REE Production; Investor Webcast on December 15

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Energy Fuels is published under ticker symbols (UUUU and EFR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol UUUU. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.

Energy Fuels is the largest uranium producer in the U.S. and holds more production capacity and uranium resources than any other U.S. producer. The Company also produces vanadium. Headquartered in Colorado, Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Facility in Texas. The producing White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill in the U.S. and has a licensed capacity of 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Nichols Ranch is in production and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Alta Mesa is currently on standby. Energy Fuels also owns several licensed and developed uranium and vanadium mines on standby and other projects in development.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Commercial production of mixed rare earth element (REE) carbonate. Energy Fuels executed a three-year agreement with The Chemours Company (NYSE, CC, Not rated) to purchase 2,500 tons of monazite sands per year. Beginning in the first quarter 2021, Energy Fuels will begin processing the monazite at its White Mesa Mill to recover uranium and produce a marketable mixed rare earth carbonate containing ~71% total rare earth oxides (TREO) ready for sale to third-party REE separation facilities. The goal is to process at least 15,000 tons of monazite per year for the recovery of REEs and uranium which would represent about 2% of White Mesa’s throughput capacity.

    Moving downstream?  While the company could execute sales agreements with third party separation facilities shortly, Energy Fuels is also evaluating the potential to perform REE separation at White Mesa, along with other downstream REE activities …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Ely Gold Royalties (ELYGF)(ELY:CA) – Executes Option Agreement to Sell Weepah Closes Acquisition of Watershed Royalty

Tuesday, December 15, 2020

Ely Gold Royalties (ELYGF)(ELY:CA)
Executes Option Agreement to Sell Weepah; Closes Acquisition of Watershed Royalty

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Ely Gold Royalties is published under ticker symbols (ELYGF and ELY:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol ELYGF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target. Ely Gold Royalties Inc is an emerging royalty company with producing and development assets focused in Nevada and the Western US. It offers shareholders a low-risk leverage to the current price of gold and low-cost access to long-term gold royalties.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Option agreement to sell Weepah. Ely Gold Royalties, through its Nevada Select subsidiary, executed an option agreement for Navy Resources Corp. (TSXV, NVY, Not Rated) to acquire the Weepah Property located in Esmeralda County, Nevada. Ely will retain royalty interests. Weepah is in the Walker Lane Trend roughly 32 kilometers southwest of Tonopah, Nevada and includes 66 unpatented claims known as the Cordex Claims, 10 unpatented claims known as the Nevada Select Claims, and 1 patented claim known as the Electric Claim. The agreement is subject to approval by the Toronto Venture Exchange.

    Terms of the transaction.  Navy will have the option to purchase 100% of the property in exchange for US$1 million and 500 thousand Navy shares, including the following payments: 1) US$50 thousand in cash to Nevada Select upon entering the agreement; 2) 50 thousand Navy shares within 5 business days of TSXV approval, 3) US$100 thousand in cash and 100 thousand Navy shares on or before the first …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) – FAT Brands, Fog Cutter Merger Announced Increasing PT

Monday, December 14, 2020

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT)
FAT Brands, Fog Cutter Merger Announced; Increasing PT

FAT Brands Inc is a multi-brand restaurant franchising company. It develops, markets, and acquires predominantly fast casual restaurant concepts. The company provides turkey burgers, chicken Sandwiches, chicken tenders, burgers, ribs, wrap sandwiches, and others. Its brand portfolio comprises Fatburger, Buffalo’s Cafe and Express, and Ponderosa and Bonanza. The company’s overall footprint covers nearly 32 countries. Fatburger generates maximum revenue for the company.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Fog Cutter Merger. On Friday, FAT Brands announced the long-waited merger with its controlling shareholder Fog Cutter Capital Group (FCCG). FCCG owns 81.16% of FAT’s common shares. FAT shares closed at $7.89, or 28% higher on the news. At the onset, the merger will simplify FAT’s corporate structure and eliminate limitations that have restricted FAT’s ability to use common stock for acquisitions and capital raising. FCCG also holds over $100 million of NOLs that FAT will now be able to use to offset future taxable income. Management estimates FAT’s public float will increase to approximately 46% on a fully-diluted basis.

    Terms.  The 9,679,288 FAT shares held by FCCG will, in essence, be distributed to the current FCCG stockholders in proportion to their FCCG ownership. We would note that FAT CEO and President Andy Wiederhorn owns approximately 80% of FCCG. Current, non-FCCG, FAT common holders will receive $5.80 liquidation preference per common share in FAT’s 8.25% Series B Preferred (FATBP) …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Rising Oil Prices and Small-Cap Energy Stocks

 


Small-Cap Energy Underperformance During the Drop in Oil is Unwinding

 

It is no surprise that energy stocks are highly correlated to energy prices, mainly oil prices. The chart below shows the correlation between oil prices and the relative performance of energy stocks (XLE Index) as compared to the S&P 500 Index. This relationship has been true through up markets and down markets. That is, until recent quarters. Note how energy stocks continued to fall relative to the overall market in 2018-2019 even as oil prices stabilized.

 

Price per barrel vs. S&P 500 energy sector

A similar story can be told by looking at the performance of energy stocks over the last six months. Energy stocks were flat even as the WTI oil prices (using near month future contract as a proxy) began to stabilize and rise.

 

 

There are many reasons for this. Energy stocks are a function of investors’ viewpoints about the long-term performance of a company, while oil future contracts reflect a shorter time span. Or perhaps the high yield of energy stocks help to smooth out stock price performance during energy price cycles. The energy stock underperformance may reflect a growing understanding that renewable energy and electric vehicles may mean less demand for oil in the long term. Or it may reflect concerns that the pandemic-induced global slowdown has negatively impacted demand. Such a theory would explain why energy stocks have rebounded in recent weeks with the development of vaccines.

Either way, it would appear that energy stocks are gaining favor after several years of being in the doghouse. So, if you are an investor and ready to get your feet wet by adding to energy stock positions, what is the best way to do it? We believe a strong argument can be made for focusing on small-cap energy companies. As the chart below shows, small-cap energy stocks (PSCE index) have underperformed the broader energy stocks market (XLE) through the down cycle. This is not surprising as larger cap stocks are more likely to be the first to react to changes in industry fundamentals given their liquidity.

 

 

Of course, this trend works the opposite way as well. When energy prices rise, we would expect larger energy stocks to react first, but smaller energy stocks to eventually follow. We may have hit that inflection point in early November when oil price started rising. WTI and Brent oil prices have both risen about $10/bbls since the beginning of November and energy stocks are starting to rebound.

 

 

Note the strength in the PSCE small cap energy index since stocks have started to rise. Small cap energy stocks still have a long way to go to recover several years of underperformance, but the performance of the last few weeks may be a sign that the gap is starting to close.

 

Suggested Reading:

Are
we headed to Another Oil Collapse?

Contango
and the Known Risk to ETFs

Will
Oil Prices Rise in 2021?

 

Do You Know a Student  Who Could Use $7,500 for College?

Tell them about the College Challenge!

 

Release – Energy Fuels (UUUU) – Set to Enter Commercial Rare Earth Business in Q1 2021

 

 


Energy Fuels Set to Enter Commercial Rare Earth Business in Q1-2021, Producing Materials That Make Many Clean Energy and Advanced Technologies Possible; Webcast on Dec. 15

 

New Monazite Supply Agreement with The Chemours Company
Supports Energy Fuels’ Efforts to Help Reestablish Key U.S. Supply Chain

 

LAKEWOOD, Colo., Dec. 14, 2020 /CNW/ – Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU) (TSX: EFR) (“Energy Fuels” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has entered into a three-year supply agreement with The Chemours Company (NYSE: CC) (“Chemours”) to acquire a minimum of 2,500 tons per year of natural monazite sands, one of the highest-grade rare earth element (“REE”) minerals in the world. Energy Fuels expects to process this monazite at its 100%-owned White Mesa Mill starting in Q1-2021, recover the contained uranium, and produce a marketable mixed REE carbonate, representing an extremely important step toward re-establishing a fully-integrated U.S. REE supply chain.

Upon a successful ramp-up of this program, Energy Fuels will be the first U.S. company in several years to produce a marketable mixed REE concentrate ready for separation on a commercial scale. We estimate that the amount of REEs contained in the monazite sands to be supplied by Chemours will equal close to 10% of total current U.S. REE demand, as contained in end-use products.

REEs are the building-blocks of a wide array of clean energy and advanced technologies, including wind turbines, electric vehicles, cell phones, computers, flat panel displays, advanced optics, catalysts, medicine, and national defense applications. Monazite also contains significant recoverable quantities of uranium, which fuels the production of carbon-free electricity using nuclear technology.

“With our announcement today, southeast Utah is fast becoming America’s clean energy and critical minerals hub,” stated Mark S. Chalmers, President and CEO of Energy Fuels. “Our goal is to domestically produce the raw materials needed for clean energy and advanced technologies, while creating green jobs in an economically challenged part of the country. Currently, the U.S. imports nearly all of our rare earth, uranium and vanadium requirements, despite having ample supplies here in the U.S. Importantly, in the United States we are highly regulated and operate to the highest standards, which means we produce these minerals more responsibly than many of the countries from which we currently import. Our agreement with Chemours may be the beginning of a real success story, not only for Energy Fuels, but also for local communities, Native Americans, conservation groups, the State of Utah, and the U.S. as a whole.”

“Our partnership with Energy Fuels to help support the rare earth supply chain in the U.S. came from a deliberate process of customer engagement and developing sustainable solutions for our critical minerals. This is consistent with Chemours’ goals of supporting advanced technologies and clean energy, and we will continue efforts to grow and diversify the domestic supply chain,” stated Bryan Snell, President of Titanium Technologies at Chemours.

Typical monazite sand ores from the southeast U.S. average about 55% total rare earth oxides (“TREO”) and 0.20% uranium, which is the typical grade of uranium found in uranium mines that have historically fed the White Mesa Mill. Of the 55% TREO typically found in the monazite sands, the neodymium and praseodymium oxides (“NdPr”) comprise approximately 22% of the TREO. Nd and Pr are among the most valuable of the REEs, as they are the key ingredient in the manufacture of high-strength permanent magnets which are essential to the lightweight and powerful motors required in electric vehicles (“EVs”) and permanent magnet wind turbines used for renewable energy generation, as well as to an array of other modern technologies, including, mobile devices and defense applications.

The monazite sands will be from Chemours’ Offerman Mineral Sand Plant in Georgia. Shipments of monazite sands from Georgia to the White Mesa Mill in Utah are expected to commence in the first quarter of 2021. The Company expects to recover uranium from the monazite and produce a commercially salable mixed REE carbonate containing ~71% TREO (dry basis). This REE product will be ready for REE separation, which is the next step in producing usable REE products.

The Company is also in discussions with other entities to acquire additional supplies of monazite and is working with the U.S. Department of Energy (“DOE”) to evaluate the potential to process other types of REE and uranium bearing ores at the White Mesa Mill produced from coal-based resources. The Company has a goal to process 15,000+ tons of monazite and other sources of ore per year for the recovery of REEs and uranium.

The Company also believes this project may, in time, result in among the lowest-cost REE production in the western world, since the Company is obtaining monazite from existing mining facilities in Georgia (and potentially elsewhere) and utilizing its existing White Mesa Mill processing facility in Utah. Utilizing existing facilities avoids the significant time and cost required to license and develop new facilities. In addition, since monazite sands are currently being separated from other mineral sands in Georgia and elsewhere, the Company will only incur the cost to acquire the monazite, thereby avoiding mining costs and associated risks.

The Company expects to sell some or all of its mixed REE carbonate to buyers in Europe and/or Asia until a REE separation facility is established in the United States. The Company is also evaluating the potential to perform REE separation, and potentially other downstream REE activities, including metal-making and alloying, in the future at the White Mesa Mill or elsewhere in the United States.

Further, Energy Fuels’ mixed REE carbonate production from monazite sand ores is expected to utilize only a very small amount of the White Mesa Mill’s ore production capacity and very little waste. The Company expects to acquire a minimum 2,500 tons of monazite sands in 2021 from Chemours alone and is looking to increase production in the future to up to approximately 15,000 tons of monazite sands per year. For comparison, the White Mesa Mill is licensed and designed to process 2,000 tons of ore per day on average, or 720,000 tons of ore per year. Therefore, 2,500 tons of monazite per year represents less than 0.4% of the Mill’s ore throughput capacity, and 15,000 tons would represent only about 2% of its throughput capacity. If the Company is successful in securing 15,000 tons of ore similar to the Chemours monazite, the Company believes it would produce approximately 50% of U.S. REE demand in a mixed REE carbonate. Furthermore, since monazite is typically comprised of approximately 55% recoverable uranium and REEs, the total volume of resulting waste is significantly lower than for most other mill feeds. The Company currently has 1.5 million tons of existing capacity in its fully-constructed, state-of-the-art, 1,000-year design tailings impoundments. Therefore, the annual waste streams from monazite ore processing will represent less than 1% of existing tailings capacity. Even at higher levels of monazite processing, very little waste will be generated.

Mr. Chalmers continued: “We are extremely excited about working with Chemours to help reestablish U.S. rare earth production. Chemours is a leader in the U.S. heavy mineral sands industry, and, together we are now taking an important first step in returning the REE supply chain back to the United States. We look forward to working with Chemours in the future to expand our mutual contributions to this important initiative.

“This is a proud moment for Energy Fuels, as we deploy our unique capabilities to benefit both the environment and our shareholders. Energy Fuels already produces uranium, which is the fuel for clean, carbon-free nuclear energy. And we periodically produce vanadium, which is used in the production of steel, aerospace alloys, and advanced grid-scale batteries used to store renewable energy. The responsible production of rare earths and uranium from natural monazite sand ores is an important clean-technology addition to those programs. We are also seeking to help the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Navajo Nation address historic, government-sponsored uranium mines, a project to which I am personally deeply committed.”

Webcast on Tuesday, December 15, 2020 at 11:00 am ET (9:00 am MT)

Energy Fuels will be hosting a video webcast on Tuesday, December 15, 2020 at 11:00 am ET (9:00 am MT) to discuss the Company’s entry into the commercial rare earth space. To join the webcast, please click on the link below to access the presentation and the viewer-controlled webcast slides:

Energy Fuels Set to Enter Commercial Rare Earth Production in Q1-2021

If you would like to participate in the webcast and ask questions, please dial (888) 664-6392 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada).

A link to a recorded version of the proceedings will be available on the Company’s website shortly after the webcast by calling (888) 390-0541 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada) and entering the code 875131#. The recording will be available until December 29, 2020.

About Energy Fuels: Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. The Company also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and anticipates commencing commercial production of rare earth element (“REE”) carbonate in 2021. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado, near Denver, and all of its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch in-situ recovery (“ISR”) Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, and is completing final test-work for the production of REE carbonate from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also on standby and has a licensed capacity of 1.5 million pounds of U3O8 per year. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

This news release contains certain “Forward Looking Information” and “Forward Looking Statements” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, which may include, but is not limited to, statements with respect to: the Company being a leading producer of uranium in the U.S.; any expectation that the Company is able to produce REE carbonate from uranium-bearing ores or that the Company will commence commercial production of REE carbonate in 2021 or at all; any expectation that the Company’s REE project may, in time, result in among the lowest cost REE production in the western world; any expectation that the Company will be successful in acquiring additional supplies of monazite, or will be successful in processing other types of REE- and uranium bearing ores at the White Mesa Mill; any expectation that the Company will be successful in achieving its goal of processing 15,000+ tons of monazite and other sources of ore per year; any expectation that the Company will be able to sell some or all of its REE carbonate to buyers in Europe and/or Asia until a REE separation facility is established in the United States; any expectation that the Company may potentially perform separation, and other downstream REE activities including metal-making and alloying, in the future at the White Mesa Mill or elsewhere in the United States; any expectation that the Company will be successful in helping the EPA and Navajo Nation address historic abandoned uranium mines; any expectation that the Company will significantly increase the number of green jobs it is providing at the White Mesa Mill; and any other statements regarding Energy Fuels’ future expectations, beliefs, goals or prospects; constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities legislation (collectively, “forward-looking statements”). All statements in this news release that are not statements of historical fact (including statements containing the words “expects,” “does not expect,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “does not anticipate,” “believes,” “intends,” “estimates,” “projects,” “potential,” “scheduled,” “forecast,” “budget” and similar expressions) should be considered forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements are subject to important risk factors and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Energy Fuels’ ability to control or predict. A number of important factors could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such forward-looking statements, including without limitation factors relating to: the Company being a leading producer of uranium in the U.S.; any expectation that the Company is able to produce REE carbonate from uranium-bearing ores or that the Company will commence commercial production of REE carbonate in 2021 or at all; any expectation that the Company’s REE project may, in time, result in among the lowest cost REE production in the western world; any expectation that the Company will be successful in acquiring additional supplies of monazite, or will be successful in processing other types of REE- and uranium bearing ores at the White Mesa Mill; any expectation that the Company will be successful in achieving its goal of processing 15,000+ tons of monazite and other sources of ore per year; any expectation that the Company will be able to sell some or all of its REE carbonate to buyers in Europe and/or Asia until a REE separation facility is established in the United States; any expectation that the Company may potentially perform separation, and other downstream REE activities including metal-making and alloying, in the future at the White Mesa Mill or elsewhere in the United States; any expectation that the Company will be successful in helping the EPA and Navajo Nation address historic abandoned uranium mines; any expectation that the Company will significantly increase the number of green jobs it is providing at the White Mesa Mill; and the other risk factors as described in Energy Fuels’ most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly financial reports. Energy Fuels assumes no obligation to update the information in this communication, except as otherwise required by law. Additional information identifying risks and uncertainties is contained in Energy Fuels’ filings with the various securities commissions, which are available online at www.sec.gov and www.sedar.com. Forward-looking statements are provided for the purpose of providing information about the current expectations, beliefs and plans of the management of Energy Fuels relating to the future. Readers are cautioned that such statements may not be appropriate for other purposes. Readers are also cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, that speak only as of the date hereof.

SOURCE Energy Fuels Inc.

Energy Services of America (ESOA) – PPP tax payment masks strong quarter and profitable year

Monday, December 14, 2020

Energy Services of America (ESOA)
PPP Tax Payment Masks Strong Quarter and Profitable Year

Energy Services of America Corporation is engaged in providing contracting services for energy-related companies. The company is primarily engaged in the construction, replacement, and repair of natural gas pipelines and storage facilities for utility companies and private natural gas companies. It services the gas, petroleum, power, chemical and automotive industries, and does incidental work such as water and sewer projects. Energy Service’s other services include liquid pipeline construction, pump station construction, production facility construction, water and sewer pipeline installations, various maintenance and repair services and other services related to pipeline construction.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Fiscal 4Q2020 (September) operating results above expectations. 4Q2020 revenues increased $6.2 million (16%) to $44.5 million from $38.3 million in 4Q2019, and EBITDA increased by $4.0 million (114%) to $7.0 million from $3.0 million in 4Q2019. While we don’t have the segment details yet, quarterly revenue was the highest in the past six quarters. A net loss of $0.039/share was reported in FY2020 due to a tax payment related to the PPP loan, adjusted net income of $0.126/diluted share was 31% higher than FY2019.

    Introducing FY2021 EBITDA estimate of $10.8 million to reflect the strong end to FY2020 and sustained higher profitability due to the shift in the business model.  Forecasted revenue of $122.5 million is a slight 3% improvement from $119.2 million and EBITDA of $10.8 million is about $2.7 million higher than $8.1 million in FY2020. Profitability should continue to improve and we forecast higher …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Why Small Cap Mutual Funds May be the Worst Way to Invest in the Sector

 


Small-Cap Stocks Have Been Performing at a Multiple of the Large-Cap Sector

 

In October, Channelchek published an article titled, “Which Stocks do Better After a Presidential Election?” The article looked back over 40 years and demonstrated that there has been a consistent outperformance of small cap stocks and explained some of the reasons smaller stocks could outperform large caps again.

It has been two months and we see that small cap stocks had a great month over the past 30 days. During the 30-day period ending December 10, the small cap Russell 2000 (RUT) index had gained 10.69%, compared to the S&P 500 (^SPX) increase of only 2.67%, and Dow Industrials (INDU) with a 2.05% increase.

This chart shows the Russell Small Cap Index(red) had a fivefold increase relative to the Dow 30 (yellow), and more than threefold compared with the S&P 500 Index (green).

Source: Channelchek Advanced Market Data

Performance Drag:

Based on these performance numbers, someone who invested for 30 days in a fund mimicking the RUT would have earned an additional 8% over the same investment in an ^SPX fund. If the same investor had placed money in an actively managed mutual fund designed to beat the small cap index, they likely would have been much more disappointed.

The small cap fund sector has been experiencing a lot of inflows during the last quarter of 2020. This is why it’s rising; this is how momentum builds. For the portfolio manager in an actively managed fund, this creates a few problems. The first is that the new money coming into the fund has to be invested or left in cash. During a fast upward moving market, cash detracts from performance. Alternatively, suppose the portfolio manager instead decides to invest the inflows. In that case, they will be investing at a time when stocks have already run-up, purchasing them at less than optimal times. They may be forced into decisions they would not have made with a more level and predictable account size. This sector had already had a good run up into November; an active fund manager putting money to work after the run-up is at a disadvantage versus the stocks represented in the index.

There’s another disadvantage a mutual fund portfolio manager, compared to an indexed ETF or even an individual investor may have as a rising market meets fund inflows. During the month of November, $5 billion in net new money was put to work in index-tracking, broad-based small-cap exchange-traded funds (ETF). This represented about 4% of the ETF’s total assets. Active managers usually don’t have as broad of a base of holdings instead as an index fund. More common is they take a higher percentage of their positions in the larger, more liquid names in the sector. When inflows to broad-based index funds accelerate, the smaller companies in the small cap universe often get lifted disproportionately, active funds participate less in these gains. On average, small cap actively managed funds returned about two percentage points less than the benchmarks during November.

Looking Forward

Market participants have been expecting a strengthening in small and micro cap stocks for a couple of years. They had been underperforming and expected to revert to their mean average relative performance. The events of 2020 surrounding the pandemic drove a lot of investible cash to large tech companies leaving small cap stocks to have to wait a bit longer for their move.

The recent move in small stocks across the board remains strong. Profit-taking among the large cap sectors are fueling a rotation into the small sector as many still perceive it as undervalued.  Investors also recognize that continued low materials prices should help many companies keep costs of operating below their pre-2020 levels while expectations of a post-COVID world should bolster profitability.

 

Suggested Reading:

Which Stocks do Well After a Presidential Election

Small-cap Stocks are Looking Better for Investors

The Advantage of Micro Cap Equities for Investors

 

Sources:

Why the Small-Cap Rally is Just Getting Started

Small-Cap Stocks Soared Last Month

 

Upcoming Events

 


Is a Cure for Diabetes Being Studied?

 


Are Biotech Scientists on the Road to a Cure for Type One Diabetes?

 

How close are we to potentially having a functional cure for diabetes? This was the question asked of a panel of world-renowned experts at T1D Day “The Beginning of the End; Close to a Cure.” The late November event featured a panel of world-renowned experts, who are well qualified to respond to this question. Nathan Cali, who is a Managing Director of Investment Banking, specializing in healthcare at Noble Capital Markets, led the discussion with the experts in the field of Diabetes, ALS, immunosuppression, and transplantation. Much of the discussion centered around CD40/CD40L FDA phase II safety and efficacy trials and ongoing progress toward a functional cure for T1D using islet cell transplantation.

The event held by Noble Capital Markets, Inc. and Channelchek also gave insight into progress in other areas of organ or cell-based transplants and immunological diseases. The main focus was on how close we are to a functional cure for T1D and the role the company Novus Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ; NVUS) has taken to make this a reality. Novus has organized a team it believes is capable of managing and navigating the biomedical challenges, FDA approval processes, and the capital needs necessary to take this dream much closer to an actuality. Novus is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on targeted medicines for patients undergoing organ or cellular transplantation, as well as immunological diseases.

T1D Day Presenters from Top Left:

Nathan Cali, Managing Director of Investment Banking specializing in healthcare at Noble Capital Markets
Dr. Steven Perrin, President & CSO, Novus Therapeutics
Dr. David Gros, Chief Executive Officer Novus Therapeutics
Dr. Norma Sue Kenyon, Martin Kleiman Professor of Surgery, Microbiology and Immunology and Biomedical Engineering, Vice Provost for Innovation
Dr. James Markmann, Chief of the Division of Transplant Surgery and Director of Clinical Operations at the Transplant Center at Massachusetts General Hospital
Dr. Camillo Ricordi, Director of the Diabetes Research Institute at the University of Miami School of Medicine – Ranked as the World Leader in Islet Cell Transplant
Watch the Replay

Advancements in T1D Research

The approach being taken by Novus involves transplanting islet cells into the host suffering from T1D. Islet cells produce insulin; the lack of insulin production is the cause of type 1 diabetes. A hurdle with transplantations of any type, including cell transplantations, is host rejection. Much of the conversation centers around getting around host rejection of implantation. The approach taken by Novus, as explained early in the discussion by CEO Dr. David Alexandre Gros, is an alternative approach with two possible methods to target immune response, “you can think of it as a lock and key, one can go after what’s called the ligand, or one can go after the receptor.” The CD40/CD40L trials use these molecules to impact the ligand or the “key.” Dr. Gros explained their approach, “The research, what’s interesting in the CD40 space is that we believe that going after the ligand is the better way to do it and one that could potentially allow us to get greater efficacy from our molecule.” In his view, if they had instead targeted the receptor (not the ligand), they would be testing an approach that has been explored for years and has experienced safety concerns.

 If the pathway to the immune response of rejection can be effectively impacted, islet cells may have a longer life in the host.

 

About CD40/CD40L

Source: Novus Therapeutics, Inc.

Promising Results

The presenters were cautious not to produce hope or hype around their part in the research. However, Dr. Camillo Ricardi expressed enthusiasm toward the research and promise in the results. Dr. Ricordi revolutionized a method to transplant islet cells in a way where the host would begin producing insulin. His approach remains the gold standard for human pancreas processing. The second part of any transplantation is preventing an immunological response against the transplanted cells. His previous work on islet cell acceptance, he had spent years researching and experimenting with a CD40L predecessor as an immunosuppressant. Permission to study that molecule had been withdrawn, which left his research toward a biological cure unfinished. During the audience, Q&A at the T1D Day discussion Dr. Ricordi referred to the reasons for the withdrawal of the old immune suppressant molecule and the current version, “This is a much better molecule which doesn’t share the same biological effect.” Dr. Ricordi believes that a combination of other immunological strategies, along with an increased supply of islet cells to work with, will allow them to induce tolerance and suppress the immune response. He again offered that the ligand strategy with its synergistic effects could bring about a biological cure.

Dr. Steven Perrin said the first phase II studies on islet cell transplant has been approved to start in Canada. Dr. Gros added that Novus is in phase II of ALS studies; they have been through phase I safety studies, and their next indication will be islet cells  within Canada.

Results of Islet Cell Grafts

Source: Channelchek T1D Day video replay

 

Recent Transactions for NVUS

Dr. Gros discussed the Anelixis transaction and other key financial affairs of his company, “what we’ve done was one [transaction] where Novus acquired a private company called Anelixis in a stock for a stock transaction where Anelixis equity holders received both common stock as well as a convertible preferred stock. At the same time, we entered into an agreement to do a financing, and this was for this same non-voting preferred stock, which we did as a private placement with a terrific blue-chip group of investors including, Cormant, Fidelity, Janus, and some others. Together they allowed us to raise over $108 million dollars in gross proceeds. We’ll use these proceeds in order to develop.” The Novus CEO also reported,” as we announced in our last quarterly earnings call, we finished September 30, 2020 with almost $115 million dollars in cash in the bank. We expect to receive an additional $9 million, through some more financing which has been deferred until with the potential conversion of our preferred stock into common shares.”

Take-Away

T1D Day “The Beginning of the End; Close to a Cure” delivered on its promise to be interesting, and exciting in the implications of what was presented. According to the ADA, 1.25 million Americans suffer from Type 1 Diabetes. Success in finding a functional cure could literally change the world for people who suffer from it.

The discussion also provided valuable context to investors who are considering investments in biotech companies involved in transplantation and immunological response. The entire T1D video is available on Channelchek for those who are premium members. Premium Channelchek registration is fast and free and will allow access to all content. Register here.

Watch the T1D Day Panel Presentation

 

Recent Videos:

Neovasc Virtual Road Show (Replay)

Lineage Cell Therapeutics Virtual
Road Show(Replay)

PDS Biotechnology C-Suite Interview

 


Aurania Resources (AUIAF)(ARU:CA) – Solid Progress

Friday, December 11, 2020

Aurania Resources (AUIAF)(ARU:CA)
Solid Progress

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Aurania Resources is published under ticker symbols (AUIAF and ARU:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol AUIAF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.

Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Initial results. Scout drilling commenced in mid-September and through the end of the third quarter, three bore holes had been completed on the Tsenken N2 target for a total of 645 meters drilled and two holes were completed on the Tsenken N3 target representing 724 meters of drilling. Aurania reported that no significant copper-gold mineralization was intersected in the first three holes drilled on the edge of the Tsenken iron oxide copper-gold (IOCG) system.

    Finding the core of the system.  Management is awaiting assay results from Holes TS-004 and TS-005 which are thought to have been drilled closer to the core of the system and more likely to yield more significant results. Hole TS-006 is being drilled and has reached a depth of 250 meters and will be drilled to a depth of 500 meters. A heliborne geophysical survey will commence this week and continue …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO) – Delay to Drilling Start May Be a Good Thing With Rising Oil Prices

Friday, December 11, 2020

Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO)
Delay to Drilling Start May Be a Good Thing With Rising Oil Prices

Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on Indonesia. It holds two oil and gas assets through its subsidiaries in Indonesia: one producing block (the Kruh Block) and one exploration block (the Citarum Block). The Kruh Block is located to the northwest of Pendopo, Pali, South Sumatra. The Citarum Block is located to the south of Jakarta.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    INDO management held a conference call to update investors on its drilling program. The President, CIO and Chief Development Officer were on the call. The call was largely a rehash of the company’s underlying story, but did have a few tidbits of new information. Chief among these was that management now expects the company to begin drilling its first well in the Kruh Block next month. As recently as October, it had been saying drilling would start at the end of 2020. Earlier in the year, it had been targeting an end of summer date but COVID-19 issues delayed drilling. Management continues to target 4 wells in 2021, 6 in 2022 and 7 in 2023.

    Management indicates it has completed most of the steps to start drilling.  The company has identified the locations for the first three wells it will drill. It has held a bidding process and awarded a contract to a driller. It is currently waiting on forestry permitting, the last hurdle. Each Kruh well costs around $1.5 million and will generate $1.3 million in cash flow at current oil prices. Cash …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) – Dr. Patrick Gruber to Participate in Water Tower Research Fireside Chat Series


Dr. Patrick Gruber to Participate in Water Tower Research Fireside Chat Series on Tuesday, December 15, 2020, at 3:00 pm EST

 

ENGLEWOOD, Colorado – December 10, 2020 – Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO), announced today that Dr. Patrick Gruber, Chief Executive Officer, will participate in Water Tower Research Fireside Chat Series to discuss Storing Renewable Energy Through the Creation of Liquid Hydrocarbons on Tuesday, December 15, 2020 at 3:00 pm EST.

Investors and other persons interested in participating in the event must register using the link below. Please note that registration for the live event is limited but may be accessed at any time for replay after the presentation ends on December 15, 2020, utilizing the same registration link.

Registration Link:

https://globalmeet.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1412691&tp_key=5b7e03f74e

 

About Gevo

Gevo is commercializing the next generation of jet fuel, gasoline and diesel fuel with the potential to achieve zero carbon emissions and address the market need of reducing greenhouse gas emissions with sustainable alternatives. Gevo uses low-carbon renewable resource-based carbohydrates as raw materials, and is in an advanced state of developing renewable electricity and renewable natural gas for use in production processes. As a result, Gevo is able to produce low-carbon fuels with substantially reduced carbon intensity (as measured by the level of greenhouse gas emissions compared to standard petroleum fossil-based fuels across their lifecycle). Gevo’s products perform as well or better than traditional fossil-based fuels in infrastructure and engines, but with substantially reduced greenhouse gas emissions. In addition to addressing the environmental problems of fossil-based carbon fuels, Gevo’s technology also enables certain plastics, such as polyester, to be made with more sustainable ingredients. Gevo’s ability to penetrate the growing low-carbon fuels market depends on the price of oil and the value of abating carbon emissions that would otherwise increase greenhouse gas emissions. Gevo believes that its proven, patented, technology that enables the use of a variety of low-carbon sustainable feedstocks to produce price-competitive, low carbon products, such as jet fuel, gasoline components like isooctane and isobutanol and diesel fuel, yields the potential to generate project and corporate returns that justify the build-out of a multi-billion dollar business. Learn more at our website: www.gevo.com

Investor & Media Contact
IR@gevo.com
+1 720-647-9605

SOURCE: Gevo