Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Expect 2H2020 Dry Bulk Market Recovery. Adjusting 2020 EBITDA Estimate.

Tuesday, June 23, 2020

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE)

Expect 2H2020 Dry Bulk Market Recovery. Adjusting 2020 EBITDA Estimate.

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Dry bulk market volatility impacts 1H2020, but 2H2020 recovery appears likely. The year started off weaker than expected and operating results will be muted when 2Q2020 numbers are reported around August 5th. While the dry bulk market has staged a strong recovery and the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was up 68% last week alone and is now ~25% above last year, the BDI averaged 592 in 1Q2020 and is likely to average ~750 in 2Q2020, down ~25% from 2Q2019.

    Updating 2020 EBITDA estimate to reflect current dry bulk market conditions. To reflect the expected rebound from 1H2020 weakness, we are increasing our EBITDA estimate to $65.5 million based on TCE rates of $10.1k, up from our previous estimate of $60.0 million based on…..



    Click to get the full report.

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO) – Estimates and PO raised on sharper-than-expected oil price rebound

Tuesday, June 23, 2020


Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO)

Estimates and PO raised on sharper-than-expected oil price rebound



Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on Indonesia. It holds two oil and gas assets through its subsidiaries in Indonesia: one producing block (the Kruh Block) and one exploration block (the Citarum Block). The Kruh Block is located to the northwest of Pendopo, Pali, South Sumatra. The Citarum Block is located to the south of Jakarta.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Oil prices have rebounded sharply from the level assumed when we launched coverage in April. Brent oil prices, which were down near $20 at the time of our initiation, have rebounded to a level in the mid forties. We had modeled a rebound of $5 per quarter, a much slower rebound than we are witnessing. We are maintaining our long-term oil price assumption of $50 but now believe pricing will reach that level several years earlier than previously modeled.

    Higher oil prices mean higher earnings and cash flow. We are significantly raising our earnings and cash flow projections for the upcoming quarters to reflect higher prices. In addition, we have increased confidence that the company will meet our estimates. Importantly, higher cash flow will mean less external financing will be…


Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Virtual Power Plants and Tesla Car Batteries

Tesla “Battery Day” Announcements Could Include Virtual Power Plants

A virtual power plant (VPP) is a cloud-based power plant that aggregates the capacities of independent energy resources at different locations into a power network.  The concept of a VPP is different from the traditional utility model that has a centralized generator, transmission lines, and a distribution network.  Under the traditional model, power flows in one direction.  The growth of renewable energy has changed the dynamics of power generation.  Once thought of as government-subsidized experiments, wind and solar power are now competitive with other energy sources.  The growth of renewable power has increased the need for a system that can efficiently store energy.  It has also spurred the growth of a market with dynamic pricing to reflect inconsistent supply and demand levels.

As renewable energy has grown, so too has distributed energy – small generation units that provide electricity on location, at times selling power back into the grid.  Owners value on-site generation now only for economic reasons but also reliability reasons as power outages have increased.  The result is an evolving system of hundreds of thousands of generation units in various locations and different cost structures.  In theory, computer models could coordinate all these generations units, dispatching units through a coordinated, dynamic, real-time pricing market.  In reality, VPP development is in the initial stages, although small experimental networks have been established in parts of Australia, Europe, California, and New York.

Where Does Tesla Come In?

In 2018, Tesla began installing Powerwalls in homes.  Powerwalls are large lithium-ion batteries that can provide up to seven days of continuous power in the event of an outage.  They often work in tandem with residential solar panels.  Powerwalls can be installed in parallel to increase capacity. Powerwalls can be controlled remotely by a mobile app to optimize the cost of energy for customers with electric rates that vary depending on the time of day or the season.  Typically, users will generate energy from solar panels during the day and store any excess power in the Powerwall.  At night, when power prices are typically lower, the user will take electricity from the grid or draw down on the Powerwall battery.  One use of the Powerwall would be to charge electric car batteries overnight.

Why are Electric Cars Important?

Tesla, as with other electric cars, requires enormous battery capacity, the company has hinted that it is making advances that could increase the capacity and storage life of the batteries.  Elon Musk has indicated that it will hold a “Battery Day” perhaps in July, which has ignited speculation regarding their latest battery developments.   Some believe Tesla will reveal a cheaper battery that will make electric cars as inexpensive as gas cars.  Others expect Tesla to announce that it can make a battery that lasts a million miles or one that doubles the mileage range of cars.  Others speculate that the next generation of car batteries will be powerful enough and last long enough that they can frequently cycle charges.  The car batteries, then, would act in tandem or perhaps even as a substitute for Powerwalls, perhaps taking the next step of selling excess capacity back into the grid.

So How Would this Work?

Tesla car batteries would be charged overnight using solar power stored in a homeowner’s Powerwall.  The owner then drives the car to work and plugs into an outlet that can either take electricity from the grid or give it back.  With power prices typically higher during the day during times of peak demand and the car sitting idle, charging and uncharging the car each day would be economical.  The owner can program base power requirements into a mobile app to make sure he has adequate power to drive home, run errands, etc.  Car batteries could also take the place of backup generators.  If there is a power outage, one could use the stored current in the battery to power up the Powerwall.  And, since car batteries are mobile, they can charge up in areas with power and then relocate to areas without power.  Imagine a rolling blackout that is accompanied by a rotating fleet of vehicles that power up at night and then transport to the next area where blackouts are planned.  Add the mobility of cars to the mix and the utility system as we know it will have completely changed.

What Does This Mean for Utilities?

Utilities have undergone a process of deregulation that separates power generation from power distribution.  Distribution will remain regulated as there will remain cost advantages to having one entity own and coordinate a distribution grid.  Generation is more open to competition, including the use of battery power as a source of power “generation.”  Electric utilities have long sought ways to reduce growing demand to forego building new, expensive power plants.  Most utilities promote conservation even though it means less demand for their product.  Existing power plants are typically low-cost producers that will continue to provide baseload demand.  The idea of VPPs should not be viewed as competition for electric utilities but rather partners to them.

 

Suggested Reading:

Will Tesla’s Big Reveal Slash Electric Vehicle Prices?

Has Robinhood, the Online Brokerage Disruptor, Been Disrupted?

Will There be an Explosion in New Acquisitions

 

Enjoy Premium Channelchek Content at No Cost

 

Sources:

https://cleantechnica.com/2020/02/09/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-powerwall-2-2019-edition/, Kyle Field, CleanTechnica, February 9th, 2020

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pP971PYzQJs, Battery Day is Coming, In Depth, May 15, 2020

https://www.eenews.net/stories/1063234625, David Ferris, E&E News, May 26, 2020

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/what-will-it-take-to-build-the-market-for-virtual-power-plants, Justin Gerdes, gtm, June 25, 2020

https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/oeprod/DocumentsandMedia/ABB_Attachment.pdf, Aaron Zurborg, worldpower 2010

https://www.infoq.com/presentations/tesla-vpp/

Will There be an Explosion of New Acquisitions?

Are we on the Verge of Acquisition-Mania?

While much of the world has been zoomed in on pandemic mitigation efforts, civil unrest, and an overreactive stock market, the change of fortunes in tech are worth paying attention to. Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google, and Microsoft have in hand the perfect ingredients of change along with the financial strength to scoop up companies with synergies that can lead to expanded services, higher profits, and fewer competitors. 

Based on the acquisition activity of these giants over the past couple of months, it seems management has adopted an aggressive pro-active posture similar to that of past recessions. Memorable examples of tech acquisitions from previous downturns include IBM in the 1990s that readjusted its business focus to software and service rather than mainframes and hardware. Some of the acquisitions they made during this period included Lotus, Tivoli, and Unison. During the dot-com bust after the turn of the millennium, two little known companies named Google and Facebook began to rise to the prominence they enjoy today. Another company that decided to get aggressive during the Y2K downturn was Apple. It doubled its research and development in 2001 and 2002. The outcome was the introduction of quickly adopted music storage technology, and later, smartphones. Big tech has been served well by aggressively planning to be even stronger when the economy recovers. 

What Big Tech has an Appetite For

The pandemic has pushed to the forefront new or expanded consumer needs that have provided clear demand and opportunity. Under the category of telecommunications alone, the requirements of companies to electronically meet with remote employees or even clients they’re building relationships with is worth billions. Couple that with entertainment technology and online retail needs, and the potential for massive leaps forward in business growth is possible, even for a current giant. But only for those companies positioning themselves to shape tomorrow’s standards.  Facebook’s CEO Mark Zuckerberg said in an investor call in May, “I’ve always believed that in times of economic downturn, the right thing to do is keep investing in building the future. When the world changes quickly, people have new needs, and that means there are more new things to build.” Facebook and the others clearly ramped up activity when the lockdown began.

Cash for transactions is not a problem for the largest tech companies. And their high stock valuations could provide additional “currency” for acquisitions. At the end of 2019, the combined six tech companies were sitting with $557 billion. This pile of cash allows each in the group to go shopping for the best fit for their projections of how the future will look. They can create strategies of how their business will provide for it, then build or buy the missing pieces. According to PricewaterhouseCoopers, these firms have been among the top spenders on research and development for most of the last decade.

Tech Activity

As Netflix, Amazon, and the other tech companies adapted to their own employees working remotely, they experienced a spike in their services from others in the country doing the same. The demand of messaging and other teleconferencing software and platforms had spiked.

The world is changing, and many of the new or expanded needs are already obvious. Since March, Microsoft has quickly acquired three cloud computing companies with a variety of capabilities to augment their current services of providing technology to business.

Amazon, which relies on its employees interacting with others, was at once overwhelmed with a surge of online orders. They dealt with the safety concerns of its workers first in part by investing in 175,000 new employees. Then they made their corporate shopping list. According to The Wall Street Journal, Amazon is now in advanced talks to buy an autonomous (driverless) vehicle startup named Zoox. The purchase price is estimated to be between $2.7 billion and $3.2 billion.  And, while air transportation dropped almost overnight in response to the pandemic, Amazon placed 12 Boeing 767s in its shopping cart and hit the “Buy Now” button. The online retailer is now equipped with substantially more capacity than ever — acquired at a discount.

Apple is sitting on $193 billion, they’ve scanned their business environment and found four attractive opportunities to swipe right on. In the past few months, they have acquired; DarkSky, a popular weather app for all make smartphones. They picked up Voysis, a digital assistant and speech recognition software company, and Xnor.ai, an artificial intelligence startup. Apple made an acquisition in NextVR that demonstrates their belief in the future. NextVR is a virtual reality (VR) provider that marries live sporting events with VR through various headsets.  An Apple virtual developer conference is in the works.  

Facebook’s activity skyrocketed in March as they were one of the first platforms people flocked to for voice and video chat to keep in touch with others. In April, Facebook said it was taking a $5.7 billion stake (10%) in India’s Reliance Jio, a streaming service where Facebook expects to set up a digital marketplace serving Asia. According to a June 17 Bloomberg article, the investment is being reviewed under India’s antitrust regulations. 

In May, Facebook bought Giphy for an estimated $400 million. Giphy will become part of its Instagram platform. Their expansion in Asia grew earlier this month as they made a large investment in digital payment app Gojek. Gojek now serves 170 million people in South East Asia.  

Also announced this month, Facebook has plans to create a new venture capital fund and is hiring seasoned tech investors. The plan seems to be to selectively fund startups and perhaps later have access or visibility of the firms that offer the most potential. Facebook recently posted this job opening:

Hiring: New Product Experimentation (NPE) team, ideally 10-years of tech experience.

“In this role, you will manage a multi-million dollar fund that invests in leading private companies alongside top venture capital firms and angel investors,”

“You will develop investment and impact theses, lead the execution of new investments, and support existing portfolio companies as needed.”

Facebook has confirmed they have hired someone to fill the role.

Google, too, updated products that people can use to work from home. In April, it said that its video chat service, Google Meet, would be available inside people’s Gmail window and free to anyone with a Google account. It also said it would bolster e-commerce searches by making listings in its shopping search results mostly free, rather than have merchants pay for all their products to appear in the results.

Non-Tech Activity

Tech isn’t the only industry strengthening or expanding their business offerings. Biotech, pharma, retail, and finance, are as well. In late May, Merck announced it would be acquiring Themis; a company focused on vaccines and immune-modulation therapies for infectious diseases.  Roche acquired Stratos Genomics to possess their one-hour DNA sequencing technology. Grubhub was picked up by Just Eat Takeaway.com, which creates new operations in the U.S. for the entry into online food delivery in the United States. Esports acquired the private company LHE Enterprises to capitalize on the surge in online gaming interest. As larger companies in different industries have more clarity of the future business environment, we may see even more non-tech acquisitions.

Take-Away

This period in history will likely be remembered for bringing an acceleration of change. Companies are looking to capitalize on clear trends that are expected to last well after the current challenges. Investors, for their part, can take their own steps to capitalize on new consumer demands. Research of smaller companies that may become acquisition targets could uncover investment opportunities.

Tech is the most notable group making acquisitions to reshape and benefit from a changing world, but there are others. Companies in any industry, which are aggressively seizing the opportunity and perhaps letting go of old ways, could find themselves more powerful when the pandemic resolves itself.  

Investors holding shares of firms targeted for acquisition may never see their company grow into the next behemoth like Apple. This is okay — finding the next “Apple” isn’t as easy as finding small innovative companies that Apple may become interested in owning.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor

 

Fin Tech is one of the Fastest Growing Tech Sectors

Emotions, Markets, and Mayhem (Faith in Cycles)

Are Dual Class Stocks a Mistake for
Investors?

 

Research Over 6000 Small and Microcap Companies on  Premium Channelchek Content at No Cost!

 

Sources:

Facebook establishing a venture arm to invest in startups

Facebook
Invests $5.7 Billion in Indian Internet Giant Jio

Building a transformative subsea cable to better connect Africa

Zoom’s Biggest
Rivals Are Coming for It

Top Innovators

Amazon in Advanced Talks to Buy Self-Driving-Car Tech Company Zoox

Facebook to
buy Giphy for $400 million

Microsoft acquires Softomotive to accelerate and expand its Robotic Process Automation capabilities

IBM Acquisitions 1990-1999

Zuckerberg Investor Call Tanscript

Facebook’s Deal With Jio Under Indian Antitrust Review

Sierra Metals (SMTS) – Growth Outlook at the Cusi Mine Gets a Boost

Friday, June 19, 2020

Sierra Metals (SMTS)(SMT:CA)

Growth Outlook at the Cusi Mine Gets a Boost

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Sierra Metals is published under ticker symbols (SMTS and SMT:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol SMTS. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Sierra Metals Inc is a precious and base metals producer in Latin America. The company acquires, explores, extracts, and produces mineral concentrates consisting of silver, copper, lead, zinc and gold in Mexico and Peru. Its activity includes the operation of the Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and the Bolivar and Cusi mines in Mexico. Yauricocha is an underground polymetallic mine using the sublevel block caving and cut-and-fill mining methods. Bolivar is a copper-silver-zinc-gold underground mine using room-and-pillar mining method. The majority of the revenue is earned by selling of the mineral concentrates to its customers in Peru.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    High-grade silver discovery at Cusi. Sierra Metals announced the discovery of a new high-grade silver zone composed of multiple veins extending over 300 meters in length which are in proximity to the Cusi mine’s existing operations. The company plans to drill an additional 1,000 meters to better understand the extension of the zone at depth.

    New resources could support Cusi mine expansion. The discovery of a new high-grade silver zone should better position the Cusi mine for longer-term production expansion and greater profitability. Additionally, reinterpretation of the geological system from…



    Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

1·800·Flowers.com (FLWS) – The Guidance Was Raised To What?

Friday, June 19, 2020

1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS)

The Guidance Was Raised To What?

1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. is the leading provider of gourmet and floral gifts for all occasions. For nearly 40 years, 1-800-FLOWERS® has been helping deliver smiles for customers with gifts for every occasion, including fresh flowers, premium, gift-quality fruits, and other gourmet items from Harry & David®, popcorn and specialty treats from The Popcorn Factory®; cookies and baked gifts from Cheryl’s®; premium chocolates and confections from Fannie May®; gift baskets and towers from 1-800-Baskets.com®; premium English muffins and other breakfast treats from Wolferman’s; carved fresh fruit arrangements from FruitBouquets.com; and top quality steaks and chops from Stock Yards®. The Company’s BloomNet® international floral wire service provides a broad range of quality products and value-added services designed to help professional florists grow their businesses profitably.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Extraordinary upward revised full year 2020 guidance.Due to very strong ecommerce demand, the company raised fiscal full year 2020 revenue guidance to increase in a range of 16% to 18%, up from 8% to 9%. This implies Q4 revenue growth of an extraordinary 50%. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised from a range of 13% to 15% to a range of a 50% to 55%. This implies adjusted EBITDA of a positive roughly $27 million versus an historical seasonal loss. Earnings per share is expected to increase 75% to 85% and free cash flow was raised from a range of $45 million to $50 million to a range of $75 million to $85 million.

    Not just about Mom. The company was able to increase Mother’s Day sales by offering variable shipping days well in advance of Mother’s Day. This allowed support strapped florists the ability to fill orders that would otherwise be delivered….




    Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Sierra Metals Confirms New High-Grade Silver Zone At Its Cusi Mine, Mexico, Including 17 Meters True-Width Of 428 Grams Per Ton Silver, And Provides An Operational Update

Sierra Metals Confirms New High-Grade Silver Zone At Its Cusi Mine, Mexico, Including 17 Meters True-Width Of 428 Grams Per Ton Silver, And Provides An Operational Update

New zone opens a new exploration horizon and will allow for innovative and highly productive operational design at Cusi

TORONTO—June 18, 2020 – Sierra Metals Inc. (TSX: SMT) (BVL:SMT) (NYSE AMERICAN: SMTS) (“Sierra Metals” or “the Company”) announces the discovery of a new high-grade silver zone with significant widths in an area called Northeast – Southwest System of Epithermal Veins and is providing a corporate update for its Cusi Mine in Mexico.

The new high-grade silver vein system was discovered as a consequence of a combination of mine development work in recent months and confirmatory drilling which is reported in this press release which includes true widths of 17.45 meters of 428 g/t silver (464 g/t silver equivalent), 9.35 meters of 304 g/t silver (327 g/t silver equivalent), 8.75 meters of 303 g/t silver (322 g/t silver equivalent) and 4.90 meters of 1,140 g/t silver (1,163 g/t silver equivalent).

Sierra Metals announced with a press release on June 29, 2018 the discovery of a 40-meter wide high-grade stockwork area within the Santa Rosa de Lima vein at Cusi.  As the area was developed for mining in the later part of 2019 and early 2020, our geologists re-interpreted the stockwork structure as a series of high-grade veins that had an orientation perpendicular to the Santa Rosa de Lima Structure.  The most important implication of this re-interpretation is that rather than a widening of the Santa Rosa de Lima zone, these veins extended further to the North East side of the Cusi fault, which was considered barren of silver mineralization before. Note that the Cusi fault coincides with The Santa Rosa de Lima structure. All the historic silver mineralization at the Cusi mine reported by Sierra Metals was in the South Western side of this regional fault.  The new discovery is an extension of the Cusi Vein systems in the North East of the fault and, rather than barren, the veins are reporting silver grades and widths above the average of the structures previously known at the mine in the South West to the Cusi fault.      

The Company has plans to drill an additional 1,000 meters to better understand the extension of the zone at depth and to Northeast. This mineralized zone is made up of multiple veins extending over 300 meters in length which are in proximity to the existing operations. The Cusi Mine is located within the municipality of Cusihuiriachi in the central portion of the State of Chihuahua, in Mexico. The Mine area encompasses 11,657 hectares at an elevation range of 1,950 to 2,460 meters above sea level in the Sierra Madre Occidental Mountain Range.

Drill Hole Highlights include:

*The metallurgical recoveries used were based on averages obtained from production data provided by Sierra Metals. The metallurgical recoveries used are: 87% Ag, 57% Au, 86% Pb, 51% Zn.

**Metal prices used were based on consensus are: $17.86/Oz Silver, $1,431/Oz Gold, $0.93/lb Lead, and $1.06/lb Zinc.

This exploration program confirms the existence of high-grade silver mineralization and demonstrates the
important potential of this new zone.  It will also allow the Company to use a mining method which results in high
productivity thus achieving the planned objectives for the Cusi Mine”
stated J. Alonso Lujan, Vice President Exploration of Sierra Metals. He continued, “Intercepts such as those shown especially in holes DC20M658, DC20M677, DC20M686 and DC20M687 are common in high-grade epithermal deposits, and demonstrate further potential.  As such, they give us a reason to continue exploration in the Cusi fault area at depth and along strike, as well as at other high-value zones such as the San Rafael, San Nicolas and the Bordo fault. We look forward to an exciting future as we explore the Cusi district”.

Luis Marchese, CEO of Sierra Metals commented, “Today’s drilling results demonstrate the potential for further development of high-grade zones at Cusi. We are excited for further drill results, as they along with today’s results will potentially increases the value of the asset and play an important role in our growth strategy for the Cusi Mine”.

A plan map is shown below of the Cusi area in Figure 1. Figure 2 shows the distribution of the NE – SW System veins.

 

Figure 1: Cusi Project:  NE – SW System Area

 

Figure 2:  NE- SW System Veins – Plan View

 

 

 

Cusi Mine Operation Update

The Cusi Mine remained in care and maintenance during the government-mandated shutdowns due to its proximity to urban centers with large populations.  During this period of care and maintenance, the management team has had the time to complete an optimised view of the entire mine operation.  Changes on the interpretation of the geological system have been made based on updated information from a stockwork tonnage system to a vein model system, which is expected to help better control and improve head grades, dilution, and make better use of Cusi’s silver mineral resources.  The Company plans to use a sublevel stoping method for extraction, which is better suited to the rock/mineral environment.  Additionally, the main access ramp has been extended to an opening of four meters by four meters, which will allow for the use of larger 30-ton capacity trucks into the mine and improve the efficiency of ore haulage coming from the mine.

Mine development is currently starting at Cusi in a zone that will bypass the previously announced area of subsidence (see press release dated May 13, 2020) and provide access to higher-grade economic ore to provide feed for the mill.  Cusi production is expected to recommence after the mine development work is completed and once a process can be implemented at the mine to mitigate risk to employees at the site through a testing and quarantine methodology similar to the Company’s other operations. Production will include ore from Santa Rosa de Lima zone, the Promontorio zone, as well as from a series of east-west vein systems including the new zone announced today that cross the Cusi fault near Santa Rosa de Lima zone. Management is targeting a ramp-up to 1,200 tonnes per day by the end of the year, at which point the Cusi mine is expected to become self-sustainable and cash flow positive.

Additionally, during the second half of the year, studies will commence on the potential expansion of Cusi.  Work will begin on a new tailing dam near the Mal Paso Mill, providing for tails deposition capacity for the foreseeable future.  Furthermore, infill drilling will take place at the Santa Rosa de Lima, Promontorio, and San Nicolas zones to improve and build on mineral resources at the mine.  Management also believes there is further brownfield potential in areas not previously explored but which are very close to the Santa Rosa de Lima zone such as those announced earlier in this press release.

 

Quality Control

The quality assurance-quality control (QA-QC) program employed by Sierra Metals has been described in detail in the NI-43-101 report for Cusi dated June, 2018, prepared by SRK Consulting in Denver, which is available for review on Sedar (Sections 10 and 11). The lithologies logged are used in combination with the assay data to identify mineralization for the geologic model. Both geochemistry and assays feature the analyses for the primary elements to be reported at Cusi (Au, Ag, Pb, Zn).

 

Qualified Persons

All technical data contained in this news release has been reviewed and approved by Americo Zuzunaga, FAusIMM (CP Mining Engineer) and Vice President of Corporate Planning is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person under the Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves.

Augusto Chung, FAusIMM (CP Metallurgist) and Vice President Special Projects and Metallurgy and a chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person on metallurgical processes.

 

About Sierra Metals

Sierra Metals is a Canadian based growing polymetallic mining company with production from its Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and it’s Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new discoveries and still has additional brownfield exploration opportunities at all three mines in Peru and Mexico that are within or close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

The common shares of the Company are listed and posted for trading on the Bolsa de Valores de Lima and on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “SMT” and on the NYSE American Exchange under the symbol “SMTS”.

For further information regarding Sierra Metals, please visit www.sierrametals.com or contact:

 

Mike McAllister, CPIR

VP, Investor Relations

+1 (416) 366-7777

info@sierrametals.com
J. Alonso Lujan

Vice President, Exploration

+51 630-3100

+52 614-426-0211
Luis Marchese

CEO

+1 (416) 366-7777

 

Continue to Follow, Like and Watch our progress:

Web: www.sierrametals.com | Twitter: sierrametals | Facebook: SierraMetalsInc | LinkedIn: Sierra Metals
Inc
 | Instagram:sierrametals

 

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Canadian and U.S. securities laws (collectively, “forward-looking information“). Forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the date of the 2020 Shareholders’ Meeting and the anticipated filing of the Compensation Disclosure. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential” or variations thereof, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information.

Forward-looking information is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual events or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking information, including, without limitation, the risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s annual information form dated March 30, 2020 for its fiscal year ended December 31, 2019 and other risks identified in the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulators and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, which filings are available at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively.

The risk factors referred to above are not an exhaustive list of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking information. Forward-looking information includes statements about the future and is inherently uncertain, and the Company’s actual achievements or other future events or conditions may differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking information due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. The Company’s statements containing forward-looking information are based on the beliefs, expectations and opinions of management on the date the statements are made, and the Company does not assume any obligation to update such forward-looking information if circumstances or management’s beliefs, expectations or opinions should change, other than as required by applicable law. For the reasons set forth above, one should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information.

Weaning America Off Unemployment Insurance

Does the CARES Act Encourage Prolonged Joblessness?

When COVID-19 hit, Congress passed the CARES relief package that authorized jobless Americans to receive $600 a week in unemployment benefits.  While such stimulus was undoubtedly necessary to prevent a large drop in spending that would have had an adverse impact on the economy, the relief benefits are being viewed by some as a disincentive for recipients to return to work.  The unemployment benefits going out to roughly 30 million people and are set to expire July 31.  With the economy struggling to reopen due to a second wave of COVID-19 cases, an extension of unemployment benefits seems likely.   Proposals by the White House and Democrat leaders both attempt to address this issue but in different ways. 

The Trump administration wants to replace the benefits with a smaller version that would include an incentive to work.  The administration did not provide details regarding its proposal, but other Republicans have proposed a temporary payment that would still be given even if the person returns to work.  In essence, it would act almost like a signing bonus, eliminating the current disincentive to work.  Sharar Ziv of Forbes points out that $600 per week equates to well over 40 hours of work at minimum wage.  The American Action Forum estimates that 63% of workers currently make more in unemployment than they would if working.  From this perspective, the CARES relief package is effectively a wealth transfer package and not so much an attempt to replace lost wages.

The Democrats, on the other hand, propose extending the $600 per week to those that qualify.  The $3 trillion HEROES Act, which was passed by the House, would extend the benefits up to January 31, 2021.  The extension recognizes that the economy will not be back to normal by the end of July or even January of next year.  Even if social restrictions are removed, and all companies reopen, jobs have been permanently lost.  Democrats claim that most people on unemployment do not have the choice between working or not.  They point out that under the CARES Act, benefits already go away if an employer offers a job back to a worker. Democrats believe the current spike in unemployment is temporary, and the result an external cause that is affecting the entire economy.  Unemployment benefits, then, are acting not as a disincentive to work but a temporary stopgap until the situation returns to normal.

Other economists have offered compromise proposals that reduce the $600 amount or allow the benefits to be collected regardless of employment but for a limited time.  These proposals recognize the unusual nature of the current economic situation but also the need to wean individuals of government support.  A reduction to $400 per week, which is $10 per hour or roughly the average state’s minimum wage, seems appropriate.  That amount should be reduced to a level closer to pre-pandemic levels of $200-$250 once unemployment rates are reduced.  Such a proposal recognizes that unemployment benefits can act both as a form of government stimulus to offset economic weakness caused by a temporary external variable and a safety net to workers needing time to make the transition to other employment.

 

Sources

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/15/trump-wants-back-to-work-bonus-instead-of-600-unemployment-benefit.html?recirc=taboolainternal, Greg Iacurici, CNBC, June 15, 2020

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/18/economists-want-to-swap-600-unemployment-boost-with-up-to-400-a-week.html, Greg Iacurci, CNBC, June 18, 2020

https://www.forbes.com/sites/shaharziv/2020/05/21/trump-opposes-heroes-act-extension-of-600-weekly-unemployment-benefitis-he-correct-that-it-creates-a-disincentive-to-work/#1d5c5ab17189, Shahar Ziv, Forbes, May 21, 2020

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/personalfinance/2020/06/17/cares-act-unemployment-what-happens-when-600-weekly-benefits-ends/3194716001/, Aimee Picchi, USA Today, June 17, 2020

https://www.dol.gov/coronavirus/unemployment-insurance, U.S. Department of Labor

https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/state-unemployment-benefits-and-returning-to-work/, Isabel Soto, American Action Forum, May 13, 2020

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/05/21/heres-compromise-we-need-unemployment-benefits/, Henry Olsen, Washington Post, May 21, 2020

Growth Outlook at the Cusi Mine Gets a Boost

Friday, June 19, 2020

Sierra Metals (SMTS)(SMT:CA)

Growth Outlook at the Cusi Mine Gets a Boost

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Sierra Metals is published under ticker symbols (SMTS and SMT:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol SMTS. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Sierra Metals Inc is a precious and base metals producer in Latin America. The company acquires, explores, extracts, and produces mineral concentrates consisting of silver, copper, lead, zinc and gold in Mexico and Peru. Its activity includes the operation of the Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and the Bolivar and Cusi mines in Mexico. Yauricocha is an underground polymetallic mine using the sublevel block caving and cut-and-fill mining methods. Bolivar is a copper-silver-zinc-gold underground mine using room-and-pillar mining method. The majority of the revenue is earned by selling of the mineral concentrates to its customers in Peru.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    High-grade silver discovery at Cusi. Sierra Metals announced the discovery of a new high-grade silver zone composed of multiple veins extending over 300 meters in length which are in proximity to the Cusi mine’s existing operations. The company plans to drill an additional 1,000 meters to better understand the extension of the zone at depth.

    New resources could support Cusi mine expansion. The discovery of a new high-grade silver zone should better position the Cusi mine for longer-term production expansion and greater profitability. Additionally, reinterpretation of the geological system from…



    Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Suspends Dividend; Evaluating Corporate Structure and Capital Allocation

Thursday, June 18, 2020

CoreCivic (CXW)

Suspends Dividend; Evaluating Corporate Structure and Capital Allocation

CoreCivic is a diversified government solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a growing network of residential reentry centers to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities. We also believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by U.S. government agencies. The Company has been a flexible and dependable partner for government for more than 35 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Business Evaluation. Yesterday, CoreCivic announced that it is evaluating corporate structure and capital allocation alternatives. We interpret this to mean a potential move away from the REIT structure to a regular “C” corporate structure. The Company expects to finalize its evaluation by the end of the third quarter.

    Suspending Dividend. In addition, CoreCivic suspended its quarterly dividend. According to management, the Company does expect to maintain its REIT status for 2020 given reduced required distributions under the CARES Act. Suspension of the dividend frees up roughly $53 million quarterly. Depending on the outcome of…


Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Weak 1H2020 Leads to 2H2020 Recovery

Thursday, June 18, 2020

Seanergy (SHIP)

Weak 1H2020 Leads to 2H2020 Recovery

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp., an international shipping company, provides marine dry bulk transportation services through the ownership and operation of dry bulk vessels. Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize shipping company listed in the US capital markets. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of 10 Capesize vessels, with total capacity of approximately 1,748,581 dwt and an average fleet age of about 9.8 years. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands with executive offices in Athens, Greece and an office in Hong Kong. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and class A warrants under “SHIPW”.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

  • Dry bulk market volatility impacts 1H2020 estimate, but 2H2020 recovery appears likely. The year started off weaker than expected and operating results will be lower than expected when 1Q2020 numbers are reported next week. Cape TCE rates are recovering and approaching the $20.0k range, but we are lowering our EBITDA estimate to $18.7 million based on TCE rates of $13.0k, down from our previous estimate of $27.2 million based on $15.3k/day, to reflect the 1H2020 weakness.
  • Equity issuance improves financial position with refinancings on the horizon. Close to $50 million of equity has been issued this quarter in response to dry bulk market weakness and ahead of refinancings. Bank debt of…


    Click to get the full report.


This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Added Marine Awards and Compelling Risk/Reward Profile

Thursday, June 18, 2020

Orion Group Holdings (ORN)

Added Marine Awards and Compelling Risk/Reward Profile.

Orion Group Holdings, based in Houston, Texas, is a specialty construction company within the Marine and Industrial Construction sectors, with operations focused in the continental United States and Caribbean. Revenue is split roughly 50/50 between a Marine Construction segment that provides marine facility, pipeline and structural construction services and a Commercial Concrete segment that provides turnkey concrete services in the light commercial and structural construction markets.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    New Marine awards of $17 million are positive. Two new dredging contracts were awarded for work in Corpus Christi. The first award of ~$10 million was competitively bid to the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) for dredging of a section of the Corpus Christi Ship Channel. The other project involves $7 million of dredging work at a marine terminal for a private client. Work on both projects is scheduled for completion in 1Q2021.

    Risks to existing projects is moderating. Despite moves, like adopting preventative measures to curb the spread of COVID-19 in Seattle, work continues on the Terminal 5 upgrade and the Fairview Avenue North bridge replacement. The solid rebound in crude oil prices also…



    Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Acquisition Expands Satellite Antenna Capability

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS)

Acquisition Expands Satellite Antenna Capability

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is a National Security technology provider with proprietary expertise in the area of unmanned aerial vehicles, electronics for missile defense systems, electronic warfare systems, satellite control and management systems and support services for emerging naval weapon systems. Commercial and state and local government revenues are about 25% of the total and comprise primarily of critical infrastructure monitoring and protection systems.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    ASC Signal Acquisition. Yesterday, Kratos announced the acquisition of ASC Signal for $35 million. ASC is a manufacturer of high-performance, highly engineered antenna systems for satellite communications, radar, electronic warfare, and high-frequency applications. While details of the business size were not provided, we would note the business was running at a $50 million revenue rate back in 2016. Notably, the Department of Justice required the sale of ASC in order for Communications and Power Industries to proceed with its proposed acquisition of General Dynamics SATCOM Technologies, Inc.

    Synergies and Expansion. The acquisition brings numerous synergies with Kratos’ existing core space business and expands Kratos’ industry-broadest offering of advanced products across the ground station segment. ASC antennas are used in a variety of mission-critical space applications, ranging from Telemetry, Tracking & Command to satellite communications and earth sensing and observation for military and…



    Click to get the full report.

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.