Research – Sierra Metals (SMTS) – Full year projection estimates

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Sierra Metals (SMTS)

How Does The Worker Strike Affect 2019 Production Expectations?

Sierra Metals Inc is a precious and base metals producer in Latin America. The company acquires, explores, extracts, and produces mineral concentrates consisting of silver, copper, lead, zinc and gold in Mexico and Peru. Its activity includes the operation of the Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and the Bolivar and Cusi mines in Mexico.  

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • SMTS reports first quarter production results.  Compared with the prior year period, first quarter
    production of silver increased 16.3% to 691 thousand ounces, lead production
    increased 10.2% to 6.9 million pounds and gold production increased 1.7% to
    1,986 ounces.  Copper and zinc production declined 4.4% and 9.8% to 7.7
    million and 16.4 million pounds, respectively.  Compared to the fourth
    quarter of 2018, production of copper, lead, gold, zinc and silver fell 13.4%,
    12.5%, 7.1%, 6.4% and 1.4%, respectively.  The Yauricocha mine experienced
    a 14% reduction in throughput during the first quarter due to a worker’s strike
    that resulted in 12 days of lost production.  Management has maintained
    its 2019 production guidance range and we think there may be opportunities to
    gain lost ground throughout the remainder of the year.
  • Updating estimates.  While we are making no changes to our 2020 EPS or
    EBITDA estimates, we are trimming our 2019 EPS and EBITDA estimates to $0.19
    and $101.2 million from $0.20 and $103.9 million, respectively.  Our 2019
    revi…





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Research – Avino Silver & Gold (ASM) – Mine exploration provides optimism

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM)

Bralorne Exploration Provides Some Reasons for Optimism.

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and sale of mineral properties in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, and lead deposits.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • ASM reports first quarter 2019 production results.  Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. reported first
    quarter production of 615,019 silver equivalent ounces representing a 6.4%
    decline versus the prior year period and a 14.6% decrease relative to the
    fourth quarter of 2018.  First quarter production results were negatively
    impacted by lower grades, declining recoveries at the San Gonzalo mine and
    seven days of lost production while upgrades to the crushing circuit were
    completed at the Avino mill. 
  • Updating estimates.  Based on modestly lower than expected first quarter
    production, we are reducing our full year 2019 EPS and EBITDA estimates to
    $0.06 and $10.6 million from $0.07 and $11.8 million, respectively.  Our
    2020 estimates have been lowered to $0.09 and $13.5 million from $0.10 and
    $14.5 million, respec…





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News – Boeing 737 MAX: Is it safe to fly?

Two crashes too many for the Boeing 737 MAX

(Note: companies that could be impacted by the content of this article are listed at the base of the story (desktop version). This article uses third-party references to provide a bullish, bearish and balanced point of view; sources listed in the “Balanced” section)

On March 10th, Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 experienced problems shortly after takeoff, struggled to ascend at a stable speed, and then crashed killing all 157 people on board. This follows the disturbingly similar incident that occurred last October in Indonesia when Lion Air Flight 610 crashed shortly after takeoff killing all 189 passengers. In both instances, the pilots were flying a brand-new Boeing 737 MAX.

The 737 MAX is the fastest-selling airplane in
Boeing (BA) history with about 5,000 orders from more than 100 customers
worldwide. The model has completed thousands of successful flights and was
widely considered by industry experts to be a safe aircraft. Nevertheless, following
the crash of Flight 302 the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) moved to
temporarily ground the entire global fleet of 371 Boeing 737 MAX aircrafts. On Friday
April 5th, Boeing’s CEO Dennis Muilenburg acknowledged
that both incidents were caused by the same malfunction and accepted
responsibility for the crashes saying, “We own it”. Boeing says the malfunction
that caused the crashes can be fixed, but will it restore the public’s faith in
air travel?

Research – Vectrus (VEC) – Award is a big win

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Vectrus Inc. (VEC)

What’s Next Following A Big Win?

Vectrus Inc is a U.S.-based company that provides services to the U.S. government. The company generates nearly all its revenue from the United States Department of Defense. The company offerings are categorized into three types.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • LOGCAP V Awards. Friday
    evening, the U.S. Army Contracting Command-Rock Island awarded four ID/IQ
    Multiple Task Order Contracts for LOGCAP V. Vectrus was awarded contracts for
    the CENTCOM and PACOM areas. The CENTCOM award includes Vectrus’s current
    K-BOSSS business. This is a significant positive development for the
    Company. 
  • Stock Responds Favorably. On
    Monday, 
    on the heels of the weekend announcement, VEC shares jum…





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IPO Podcast Series: Drug Disruption

Episode Two: Drug Disruption

In the second episode of the IPO podcast series, Brant Pinvidic (host of the iTunes top-trending Hollywood podcast “Why I’m Not…”) probes into the positive aspects of being “disruptive.” Changing what is viewed as the norm – disrupting the status quo -can result in very positive change… Like Uber and Airbnb. Here Brant looks for disruption in healthcare; ways to reduce the costs associated with prescription drugs. He interviews the CEO of Dyadic International who believes his company has the answer. You be the judge.

The most innovative Ideas, the inspirational People behind them, and the wealth of Opportunities they create… that’s IPO from Channelchek.

watch the IPO series trailer

Research – Cumulus Media (CMLS) –

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Cumulus Media (CMLS)

Four Key Takeaways From The Recent Announcement.

Cumulus Media, Inc., a radio broadcasting company, engages in the acquisition, operation, and development of commercial radio stations in mid-size radio markets in the United States. It owns and operates FM and AM radio station clusters that serve mid-sized markets. The company, through its investment in Cumulus Media Partners, LLC, also operates radio station clusters serving large-sized markets. 

Michael Kupinski, DOR, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • Another deleveraging transaction. The company announced plans to sell KLOS radio station
    for a favorable $43 million, an estimated multiple of an attractive 8 times
    cash flow. We believe that the net proceeds from the transaction will be
    roughly $39 million, with the proceeds to be used to pay down debt. The
    transaction is expected to close in the third quarter 2019.
  • The company also announced plans to swap two of its
    Connecticut radio stations for four stations in Allentown, Pennsylvania,
    strengthening its portfolio of two existing stations in that market and
    complimenting its strong station group in Pennsylvania. The move should enhance
    cash flow margins. 


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Research – Endeavour Silver (EXK) – Waiting for a turnaround

Monday, April 15, 2019

Endeavour Silver Corporation (EXK)

Waiting for the Turnaround at Guanacevi.

Endeavour Silver Corp is a precious metal mining company. The company is primarily engaged in silver mining and owns three high-grade, underground, silver-gold mines in Mexico. Its other business activities include acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining and reclamation.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • EXK reports first quarter
    production results.  
    Compared to the prior year period, first quarter silver and
    gold production declined 20.7% and 23.9% to 1,071,355 ounces and 10,055 ounces,
    respectively.  The decline was attributed to lower silver grades at the
    Guanacevi mine and anticipated production declines at the Bolanitos and El Cubo
    mines.  Compared to the fourth quarter of 2018, first quarter silver and
    gold production declined 22.7% and 23.3%, respectively.
  • Updating estimates.  While our 2020 estimates are unchanged, we are
    lowering our 2019 EPS and EBITDA estimates to $0.04 and $36.6 million from
    $0.05 and $40.1 million, respectively.  Our
    … 







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Research – Coeur Mining (CDE) – First quarter production results

Monday, April 15, 2019

Coeur Mining (CDE)

What Will It Take To Turn The Tide?

Coeur Mining Inc is a metals producer focused on mining precious minerals in the Americas. The company is involved on the discovery and mining of gold and silver, and generates the vast majority of revenue from the sale of these precious metals. The operating mines of company are palmarejo, rochester, wharf, and kensington.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • CDE reports first quarter
    2019 production results.
      Coeur Mining reported lower than expected first
    quarter production of 78,336 ounces of gold, 2.5 million ounces of silver, 3.7
    million pounds of zinc and 3.1 million pounds of lead.  While management
    indicated that first quarter production met their expectations and maintained
    full year 2019 production guidance, the company may have some catching up to do
    in subsequent quarters.   
  • Adjusting estimates.  We are lowering our first quarter estimate to roughly
    break-even per share, compared to our prior estimate of $0.02 per share. 
    Our full year 2019 EPS and EBITDA estimates have been lowered to $0.11 and
    $160.4 million, from $0.15 and $183.3 million.  We have also reduced our
    2020 EPS and EBI
    … 







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Research – Dyadic (DYAI) – Nasdaq Up-Listing Approved

Monday, April 15, 2019

Dyadic International (DYAI)

The Importance Behind The Nasdaq Up-Listing.

Dyadic International Inc. is a biotechnology company developing a proprietary expression platform to manufacture of biologic products. The company is employing C1 technology, part of a fungi expression system, to produce variety of modalities of biologic products, including vaccines, oncolytic viruses, monoclonal and bispecific antibodies, as well as biosimilars. 

Ahu Demir, Ph.D., Biotechnology Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • Important Milestone Accomplishment. Dyadic has announced the up-listing of its common stock on The Nasdaq
    Capital Market Exchange under stock symbol “DYAI”. The company has
    maintained the stock price requirement, for Nasdaq, following its SEC filing on
    February 2019. Trading will commence as early as 

    April 17, 2019. We believe this
    is an important milestone for the company and its current and future investors. 
  • Why is this important?  The company has accomplished key
    milestones as guided, including the SEC filing and the Nasdaq up-listing. The
    stock has gained +112% YTD 2019. We believe the biggest potential benefit from
    the up-listing is increased visibility and tran…





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Research – Scorpio Bulkers (SALT) – Liquidity boost; adjusting estimates

Friday, April 12, 2019

Scorpio Bulkers Inc. (SALT)

Dry Bulk Market Weakness Impacts Estimates, But Refinancing Activity Boosts Liquidity.

Scorpio Bulkers Inc is a shipping company based in Monaco. It owns and operates a fleet of modern mid to large-size dry bulk carriers which provide marine transportation for major bulks, which include iron ore, coal and grain and minor bulks which include bauxite, fertilizers and steel products internationally. 

  

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • Adjusting estimates for 1Q2019
    contract cover, financing activity, timing of scrubber installations
    and recent dry bulk market weakness. 
    Our 2019 EBITDA estimate drops to $86.3 million (from $110.3
    million) and TCE rates to $10,819/day (from $11,938/day). 
  • Recent financing activity boosts liquidity again. Over the past three months, two
    Kamsarmaxes were sold, and five Kamsarmaxes and five Ultramaxes were sold and
    leased back. Liquidity should positively be impacted by ~$100.7 million over the
    next six months. Net cash will increase by ~$84.9 million and ~$…





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Research – Great Panther Silver (GPL) – Production numbers slightly lower than expected

Thursday, April 11, 2019

Great Panther Silver (GPL)

What Was Behind Lower Than Expected Production Results?

Great Panther Silver Ltd is a precious metals mining and exploration company. It owns two mines Topia and Guanajuato Mine Complex (GMC). The Topia operations produce silver, gold, lead, and zinc whereas the GMC operation produces silver and gold.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • GPL reports first quarter production results.  In aggregate, first quarter production increased 6.7%
    to 14,860 gold equivalent ounces versus the prior year period and increased
    24.9% compared to the fourth quarter of 2018.  First quarter production
    was negatively impacted by lower production at the San Ignacio mine due to
    variability in vein widths and lower throughput at the mill that serves the
    Tucano mine.  Management expects to provide updated 2019 consolidated
    guidance when it reports first quarter 2019 financial results.
  • Adjusting estimates.  Based on lower than expected production, we now
    forecast a first quarter loss of ($0.02) per share versus our prior estimate of
    ($0.01).  Our full year earnings 2019 earnings per share and EBI
    … 






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Research – Aurania Resources (ARU:CA) – Another promising copper target

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Aurania Resources Ltd. (ARU:CA)

Kirus Target Shows Its Colors.

Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • Another promising
    copper target. 
     High-grade copper and silver have been discovered in an
    area measuring 6 kilometers by 3 kilometers in the Kirus copper target
    area.  Exploration identified boulders in streams containing up to 11.9%
    copper with 166 grams per tonne of silver.  Follow-up exploration led to
    the discovery of outcrop with grades of up to 5.1% copper and 70 grams per
    tonne of silver.  This follows last week’s announcement by the company that
    high-grade copper and silver had been discovered at the Tsenken target, located
    ~6 kilometers from the Kirus target.
  • More evidence
    supporting a cluster of copper porphyrys. 
     Both Tsenken and Kirus contain high-grade copper and
    silver in sedimentary rocks.  What is unique about these sediment-hosted
    targets is that they exhibit flat-lying copper and silver-bearing rock which
    would be relatively easy to drill.  However, both exhibit evidence of
    po…





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News – Could renewables supply 50% of all generation? How about 80%?

Are Fossil Fuels Going the Way of the Dinosaurs?

(Note: companies that could be impacted by the content of this article are listed at the base of the story (desktop version). This article uses third-party references to provide a bullish, bearish and balanced point of view; sources listed in the “Balanced” section)

There has been an exponential rise in the U.S. in renewable energy for electricity needs. Currently, 33% of

electricity
that is being generated in the US comes from carbon-free sources (nuclear and renewables).  This percent has quadrupled since 2005, smashing projections made just a few years ago.  Renewables are now responsible for generating as much electricity as coal, oil, or natural gas.  Renewable energy sources are likely to continue to increase at a fast pace for the foreseeable future. Over half of all new energy plants being built are either wind or solar.  But, will this growth trajectory continue without government support, and just how much electricity can renewables produce?